Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2758.320436 2982.194558 3208.926256 3455.434858 3715.573475 3981.626024 4273.977837
2025-01-19 2306.633578 2631.309645 2972.701257 3357.233611 3777.094694 4220.433282 4722.750724
2025-01-26 2143.222979 2540.282677 2968.968802 3463.741486 4016.536994 4612.701418 5301.744835
2025-02-02 2001.378893 2450.844479 2947.067205 3531.501763 4196.866881 4926.749600 5783.794546
2025-02-09 1845.912974 2330.051074 2875.662337 3530.188231 4288.008330 5131.926357 6136.689384
2025-02-16 1699.999833 2208.261848 2792.217851 3504.761782 4342.555861 5288.323955 6428.391768
2025-02-23 1608.154016 2143.043660 2768.180047 3542.407252 4464.933190 5518.572254 6802.113191
2025-03-02 1505.148827 2057.237531 2713.413472 3537.936322 4533.080119 5682.388924 7096.510630
2025-03-09 1440.872699 2014.655122 2706.910207 3587.949558 4663.296143 5917.281921 7473.503911
2025-03-16 1344.367078 1925.986410 2638.964103 3558.655974 4694.386259 6032.089115 7706.927099
2025-03-23 1304.417442 1906.912105 2655.265442 3631.267355 4848.032875 6292.772620 8114.462698
2025-03-30 1244.410273 1858.370797 2631.560912 3651.548177 4935.661870 6473.005410 8425.484159
2025-04-06 1178.674895 1800.264865 2594.484219 3654.745822 5003.121316 6631.119048 8713.984115
2025-04-13 1073.283317 1683.957182 2477.753835 3552.353285 4935.138690 6621.095211 8796.404967
2025-04-20 1061.455703 1694.605662 2526.760608 3663.353733 5136.833067 6944.443054 9289.056706
2025-04-27 1034.962169 1683.250248 2545.356024 3733.952712 5286.908867 7204.265478 9704.894095
2025-05-04 983.229142 1633.779851 2510.641866 3732.584291 5343.272179 7346.319161 9974.813408
2025-05-11 925.836551 1573.444663 2458.712266 3706.094271 5365.298578 7443.950169 10188.748030
2025-05-18 895.094387 1550.299997 2456.564179 3745.313693 5472.413911 7649.249135 10538.393966
2025-05-25 851.363473 1505.918279 2423.135741 3740.656070 5520.755439 7779.139527 10793.060091
2025-06-01 828.786913 1492.098989 2431.733024 3792.754112 5644.003887 8005.300040 11170.751163
2025-06-08 781.306976 1438.249508 2381.600266 3762.240379 5655.804676 8087.071851 11364.306700
2025-06-15 769.137914 1438.179769 2408.092946 3837.871301 5810.093890 8353.883652 11795.752358